It's amazing. Remember the picture we drew in the post last week? I didn't wipe it here, so I'll show it to you. Last week, we talked about stepping back to confirm the trend intensity, and touched the horizontal center near 3375 to get a grade 4b. In fact, from our point of view, Thursday was already a short-selling structure with long-term exhaustion. As a result, a positive line was directly repaired, and if it was wrong, it was beaten to attention. You said that the national team didn't know the technology, but he knew the long-short power too well. Let's take a look at the current market in combination with the macro.We used to tell you that we should look at the expectation of news stimulus together with exchange rate, national debt and bulk. From our point of view, the biggest problem in the A-share market lies in the mood. Compared with other markets, professional investors will be relatively calm. Let's take a look at Friday's composition about the biggest interest rate cut in ten years, right? Let's look at the exchange rate, national debt and commodities, which are definitely devalued. When the A-share market moves, it is accelerating the appreciation range. Look at 30 bonds and 10 bonds. Theoretically, the interest rate is reduced, and the interest rate is also reversed. Let's look at commodities. The sharp differences fell below 0.5 of Fibonacci's retracement after the morning closing, and even hit a new low at night. Several representative threads and so on can almost be said to have gone down after a while, that is, the attitude of big money is an emotion. On the other hand, A shares resisted all day, so you said that the national team did not intervene?
First, the economic transformation. Let's talk about the debt. In the past, our big bull markets all relied on the mapping of overseas currency issuance. As we said before, whether it was 05 or 15, it was essentially a small basin with a lot of water. The currency overflow caused by the rapid increase of foreign exchange reserves flooded into the stock market, and a crazy bull came quickly, including our institutional blue-chip bull in 1718. In essence, it was the rapid growth of foreign exchange reserves or the superposition of high reserves exceeding m2. Here is a message that everyone needs to pay attention to.If so, you can take good care of your stock assets, because the acceleration of real estate can't be sustained with the acceleration of debt conversion, especially the change in the statistical caliber of social finance is slowly repairing everyone's confidence. The next step is cpi re-transmission, and then the whole economic model is revitalized, which is the most important pawn at the moment, and liquidity has fallen. In the follow-up, whether it is the development of traditional infrastructure, the development of new infrastructure, the commercialization of land transfer, and the re-emergence of assets to make money, this hurdle has passed, and everyone must have this confidence.One son will be fully revitalized.
It is understood that there will be no big risk on our exchange rate side at the moment, and the stock market will not be as pessimistic as everyone thinks, and there are enough bullets.Well, I wish you all a smooth investment in the new week. Some of the contents are a bit so, and you can go to the public snowball if you can't see it. I wish you all a good account.Let's talk about the macro, the first is economic transformation, the second is the speed of our debt conversion and an obvious progress, and the other is the increase of gold holdings and our long-term debt and confidence in economic recovery.
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide
12-13